How are defined benefit pension transfer values calculated?

What we will cover in this post

In the past decade, huge numbers of people have transferred their final salary/defined benefit pensions to a SIPP or QROPS as Cash Equivalent Transfer Values have soared.

However, since the start of 2022, these valuations have started to fall back and I have had numerous enquiries from people wanting to know why their pension transfer value has dropped.

In this post, we will look at the nuts and bolts of how a defined benefit pension cash transfer value is calculated.

What is a Cash Equivalent Transfer Value (CETV)?

A CETV (also known as a Final Salary Pension Transfer Value) is an amount that is offered to you in exchange for you giving up your entitlement to an inflation adjusted, guaranteed-for-life pension.

It should represent a fair lump sum amount for the benefits being relinquished.

How is a CETV calculated?

Unfortunately, the calculations that are used to value defined benefit pension transfer entitlements differ from scheme to scheme.

As a result, one scheme can offer a transfer value of 12 times the deferred pension value and another scheme can offer 40 times the deferred pension.

To many, the process can seem like a big, black box.

As a help, here are some of the factors that could affect how much you are offered.

1. Interest rates

Anticipated scheme investment returns are linked to interest rates.

These anticipated returns are used to “discount” the value of the transfer offer that is made.

The lower the return, the higher the sum needed to pay the pension and hence the higher the transfer value.

This obviously works in reverse too. The higher the anticipated return (read interest rates), the lower the transfer value.

It is estimated that a rise of just one percentage point in interest rates could see transfer values fall by as much as 25%.

2. Your age

Generally, transfer values rise as you get closer to retirement.

3. Life expectancy

In 1980, life expectancy in the UK was 73. In 2020, it had risen to 81.

For pension schemes, this is a big issue as it means needing to make payments to retirees for an additional 8 years.

4. Cost of living

Final salary pension payments rise each year, based on the cost of living.

The way that these rises are calculated is insanely complex, but the key point is that if inflation is expected to be higher, then transfer values are likely to increase too.

5. Scheme retirement age

Each scheme has a ‘normal retirement age’; usually 60 or 65. All other things being equal, a pension payable at 60 is worth a lot more than a pension payable at 65.

6. Spouses benefit

A pension that pays a large pension to a surviving spouse is more valuable than one that does not.

7. How much your pension provider wants to get rid of you

Some employers and schemes are keen to encourage people to transfer their pensions out because this reduces their risk, in terms of the long-term future cost of paying your pension.

pension transfer value

Why are interest rates the biggest threat to your pension transfer value?

Pension schemes have a considerable reliance on government bonds and government bonds produce a yield based on interest rates set by the Bank of England.

According to the Pension Protection Fund’s purple book, pension scheme allocation to government bonds has increased from 28% of assets held in 2006 to 63% in 2019.

As mentioned earlier, interest rates have an inverse relation to the transfer value. I.e. lower yields, higher transfer value and vice versa.

As you can see from this chart, UK interest rates have been virtually zero for more than a decade now.

pension transfer value

At the same time, UK defined benefit pension transfer values reached record levels, peaking in November 2021.

This tailwind for pension transfer values is likely to reverse in the near future.

With UK inflation expected to hit 6% this spring, we can expect Bank of England base rates to finally start to increase.

How will rising interest rates affect pension transfer values?

o illustrate how rising interest rates might affect transfer values, imagine that someone wants to receive £1,000 pa in interest.

If interest rates are 0.25%, they would need to have £400,000 in the bank to generate the required amount.

However, if interest rates rise to 0.5%, then they only need to have £200,000.

For the purpose of this illustration, if we make the assumption that this is how pension transfer values are calculated, it shows that the scheme would not need to offer such a high transfer value if interest rates increase.

The Bottom Line

The purpose of this post is to be informative and shed some light on the “black box” that is the pension transfer value calculation process.

It should not be viewed as a recommendation to accept or reject a pension transfer value.

For that, you take personalised financial advice that is based on your unique needs and circumstances.

Talk to an ExpertIf you would like to know more about this topic, get in touch

The information in this material is intended for the recipient’s background information and use only. It is provided in good faith and without any warranty or, representation as to accuracy or completeness. Information and opinions presented in this material have been obtained or derived from sources believed by AES to be reliable and AES has reasonable grounds to believe that all factual information herein is true as at the date of issue. It does not constitute investment advice, recommendation, or an offer of any services or products for sale and is not intended to provide a sufficient basis on which to make an investment decision. It is the responsibility of any persons wishing to make a purchase to inform themselves of and observe all applicable laws and regulations. Unauthorised reproduction or transmitting of this material is strictly prohibited. AES accepts no responsibility for loss arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 

‘AES’ refers to the AES Group’s separate but affiliated entities generally, rather than to one particular entity. These entities are AES Middle East Insurance Broker LLC registered with the UAE Ministry of Economy, United Arab Emirates, Licence no. 571368, and Commercial Registration no. 75162 and regulated by the UAE Central Bank license no. 189; AES Financial Services Limited, incorporated and registered in England and Wales with company number 06063185, authorised and regulated by the UK Financial Conduct Authority FRN: 464494; AES Financial Services (DIFC) Ltd, registered in the Dubai Financial Centre (DIFC) as a foreign company, license no.2128, and regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA) Reference No F003476; AES International Limited, a private company incorporated and registered in the British Virgin Islands with company number 1839872; AES International Global Limited, a private company incorporated and registered in the British Virgin Islands with company number 1887885. Please visit our authorisations page for further information on regulation, redress and accessibility.

 

If you are outside the UK and we advise you or carry out other business, nearly all the rules, regulations and arrangements made under the UK regulatory regime (including the rules made by the FCA and the dispute resolution process provided by the UK Financial Ombudsman Service) will not apply to most aspects of the service you receive, such advice or business being provided from outside the UK. You should therefore clearly understand such rights and protection as are afforded in the jurisdiction where you receive advice. Local law, regulation and redress processes will apply in almost all cases, and will be different from that of the UK.

RISKS

Investments involve risks. The investment return and principal value of an investment may fluctuate so that an investment, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than the capital invested. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. There is no guarantee strategies will be successful.

 

Ross Naylor © 2024. All rights reserved.

WhatsApp Me
Scan the code